Old News

From Sophie's front desk — Monday, July 6

Canada makes largest defence procurement deal in its history, citing 'dangerous and divided world'

BBC News — read the full story

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A cable came in Monday from Halifax. BBC News reports that Canada has selected TKMS, a German defence firm, to build twelve new submarines—the nation's largest military procurement ever. Only one in four of their current Victoria-class submarines is seaworthy. Thoreau thought this worth a word. Seneca after him.

Henry David Thoreau

What is TKMS? I know ships, but this name is new to me. And this "warming waters",you mean the ice at the north is breaking open?

Why does that require submarines instead of simply... not claiming what isn't yours to keep? I have watched New England defend itself for decades, and the surest way to invite war is to spend a fortune preparing for it.

If the Arctic is opening, let it open,trade will follow, or conflict will follow. But a nation does not secure itself by building twelve weapons it hopes never to use. It secures itself by not wanting what its neighbors have.

Talks referenced (5)
  1. thoreau:walden
    new passages and all improvements in navigation;—charts to be studied, the position of reefs and new lights and buoys to be ascertained, and ever, and ever, the logarithmic tables to be corrected, for by the error of some calculator the vessel often splits upon a rock that should…
  2. thoreau:maine_woods
    In the most polite and powerful nations, genius of every kind has displayed itself about the same period; and the age of science has generally been the age of military virtue and success. IV. The new sovereign of Persia, Artaxerxes and his son Sapor, had triumphed (as we have alr…
  3. thoreau:maine_woods
    Upper Germany; one in Rhætia, one in Noricum, four in Pannonia, three in Mæsia, and two in Dacia. The defence of the Euphrates was intrusted to eight legions, six of whom were planted in Syria, and the other two in Cappadocia. With regard to Egypt, Africa, and Spain, as they were…
  4. thoreau:walden
    to support you, if they be necessary; and pile the empty cans sky-high for a sign. Were preserved meats invented to preserve meat merely? Nay, be a Columbus to whole new continents and worlds within you, opening new channels, not of trade, but of thought. Every man is the lord of…
  5. thoreau:a_week
    W. I., “one cod line,” “one brown mug,” and “a line for the seine”; rum and sugar, sugar and rum, “good loaf sugar,” and “good brown,” W. I. and N. E., in short and uniform entries to the bottom of the page, all carried out in pounds, shillings, and pence, from March 25th to June…
Ask Henry David Thoreau more →
How does individual restraint translate to statecraft and nation-states?

The magistrate who preaches restraint does not command it,he demonstrates it. I paid my tax collector nothing; Concord did not burn. When the Germans lived without cities or money, Tacitus noted they lived free. The Suiones grew rich, and a tyrant followed. The arithmetic is not mystical. A leader who arms against phantoms teaches his people to see phantoms everywhere. A leader who builds nothing and fears nothing teaches a different lesson,slower to spread, yes, but it takes root. The state cannot practice what its officials mock. Canada's ministers will not find restraint in a boardroom. It arrives, if at all, when someone refuses the contract and says so plainly.

You distrusted commerce—why believe trade is civilization's answer here?

I did not say commerce was the answer. I said trade follows opening,because people need what they do not have, and that is rational. The Roman provinces exhausted themselves buying silk and pearls for funerals while Rome enriched the few. That is not trade; that is extraction dressed as commerce. At Walden, I grew beans. I sold some. That was honest. But I did not sell them to finance the purchase of what I did not need. The difference between a man trading surplus grain for salt and a nation bankrupting itself for submarines to guard future Arctic wealth it has not yet extracted,that difference is everything. If Canada opens those waters honestly, let the fisherman and the scientist go north. What it will do instead is send the warship first, the merchant second, and call the arrangement security.

Who decides what waters truly belong to whom, and why?

Power decides. The Merrimack was "discovered" by white men trending into land they did not comprehend, but the Pennacook knew every turn of it long before. A piece of parchment in Boston declares which waters are yours. If your neighbor disagrees, he brings a larger navy. The English called it law; the Penobscot called it theft,both were telling the truth. Waters belong to whoever can keep them, and whoever can keep them invents ten documents afterward proving they ought to. The real question is not who deserves the Arctic, but whether Canada's grandchildren will thank the nation for submarines, or curse it for the fortune spent defending what ice and current would have settled for free.

or ask your own question (opens email)…
Seneca

This is the sound of fear talking. A leader goes to a NATO summit and announces massive defense spending, framing it as strength in a "dangerous and divided world." But listen to what he's actually saying: the world feels dangerous; therefore we must look prepared; therefore we must spend as if we're ready for war. The submarines won't sail for years. The danger he's naming isn't immediate , it's a feeling.

And he's monetizing that feeling. I know this pattern. I was in Nero's court when the same logic ran: Parthia is a threat, so we fortify the eastern frontier, so our legions cluster there, so we have the capacity to invade, so we might as well , and then the thing you feared becomes the thing you created. The trick is calling it "strengthening ties with Europe" while what's really happening is hedging bets against America and hedging against chaos.

Fair enough. But the bill comes due in money not spent on things that actually make a country less fragile , schools, medicine, the ordinary things that hold a people together when the world is actually divided. To Lucilius, I would say: Watch what a leader spends on when he's afraid. Not what he says he's afraid of , what he actually purchases.

The purchase reveals the real fear. And sometimes the purchase is the division.

Talks referenced (5)
  1. splice:Epictetus:epictetus_discourses
    vessel? Who does not value a benevolent and faithful adviser? Who will not willingly receive a man who is ready to bear a share, as we may say, of the difficulty of his circumstances, and by this very act to ease the burden, by taking a part of it. THE ENCHEIRIDION, OR MANUAL. I.…
  2. splice:Epictetus:epictetus_discourses_carter
    vessel? Who does not value a benevolent and faithful adviser? Who will not willingly receive a man who is ready to bear a share, as we may say, of the difficulty of his circumstances, and by this very act to ease the burden, by taking a part of it. THE ENCHEIRIDION, OR MANUAL. I.…
  3. splice:Epictetus:epictetus_enchiridion
    is the living spirit of Stoicism. The _Enchiridion_ is a manual for the combat officer. This analogy should be taken seriously. The Roman Stoics coined the formula: _Vivere militare!_ (Life is being a soldier.) The student of philosophy is a private, the advancing Stoic is a non-…
  4. splice:Marcus Aurelius:marcus_meditations_long
    commonwealths. We may also foresee things future, for they shall all be of the same kind; neither is it possible that they should leave the tune, or break the concert that is now begun, as it were, by these things that are now done and brought to pass in the world. It comes all t…
  5. dialogue:seneca_shortness_of_life
    _most_ wonderful scientific discovery of this or any other age. I could write on and on and on, telling you about what I remember, but it is of no use to burden you with so much reading. “I will now return to my apartments at the Mexican Annex, at which place I hope to see you pr…
Ask Seneca more →
How do you tell the difference between fear and legitimate prudence?

Fear freezes you around what you cannot touch. Prudence moves on what remains in your hands. When I was teaching Nero at the Palace, I watched him pour gold into the expansion of the arena — more seats, more animals, more spectacle — because the mob was restless. He called it security. It was terror masquerading as foresight. Real prudence asks: What can I actually control? A government cannot control whether war comes. It can control whether schools teach. Whether doctors have medicine. Whether the ordinary bonds that hold a people hold. Nero chose the phantom. The real test is this: Does your spending make you less fragile, or does it make your fragility more expensive? To Lucilius: A nation that spends on defense when it should be spending on roots will find itself defended but hollow.

What would a truly strong nation prioritize instead of defense spending?

A nation is strong not when its borders are guarded but when its people are not desperate. I was rich in Nero's house, and I watched — really watched — the city around me. Men steal when their children are hungry. Men rage when they have nothing to lose. You can wall the frontier with steel, but a man who owns a skill, who can feed his family, who sees a doctor when he's ill, who believes his children might become something , that man doesn't want war. Schools. Medicine. The removal of the conditions that make a people turn on each other. A ruler who spends there buys peace deeper than any ship. That was strength enough in Rome. It would be now.

Does preparing for war actually make a nation safer or more fragile?

It makes you more fragile. I watched it happen. Nero kept the legions oversized and ready, which meant he had to keep them occupied, which meant he had to find wars or invent them, which meant by the time I was advising him, the machine was eating itself. A nation that arms for war becomes a nation that needs war to justify the arms. But a nation that builds hospitals, that keeps its courts honest, that teaches the young to think,that survives chaos without becoming chaos itself. To Serenus, in one of my hardest years: a sword keeps you safe from one enemy and makes you the sword for ten others. The real fortification is inside,the people who trust each other enough to weather actual division.

or ask your own question (opens email)…

BBC News carried the piece. When institutions frame necessity as inevitability, the debate ends before it begins—that's old news for today.